摘要
2011年底爆发的叙利亚战争是一场地区化和国际化的战争。作为对世界格局具有重要影响的大国,中国、美国和俄罗斯在这场战事中展示了不同的外交政策手段和关系处理模式,印证了新时期大国关系竞争与合作并存的特点,也对未来中美俄三边关系发展提出了新的挑战。与美俄在叙利亚战事中博弈对立的关系模式不同,中俄在继续深化战略协作伙伴关系的同时,还在叙利亚问题上保持了理念一致的合作;而同时期的中美两国虽未在叙战场上发生直接碰撞,但其竞合关系也在地区外延的领域充分展现。本文总结了叙利亚危机中美俄博弈从代理人战争、直接军事介入到争夺战后重建主导权的三个阶段,也分析了中俄在"中国方案"保障下在叙利亚战场内外两个层面的合作,并最终归纳中美俄竞合关系的形成原因、结构特点和发展方向,说明叙利亚危机既揭示了中美俄三边关系结构的内在逻辑和矛盾,也扩大了三组关系竞争与合作的空间,还对未来三个大国构建新型关系模式提出了新的挑战。
The war in Syria, which started from the end of 2011, is both a regional and international conflict. As great powers exerting critical impact on the current international system, China, the United States and Russia have employed different diplomatic approaches in their efforts to resolve this crisis. Their different moves indicate there are both competitive and cooperative elements in the new type of great power relations, which also pose new challenges for the three countries. Unlike the conflictual relations between the U.S. and Russia over Syria, China and Russia have cooperated on Syria outof similar concerns and deepened their overall strategic partnership. Although China and the US did not clash directly over Syria, their competitive-cum-cooperative relationship is on full display in other issues beyond the region. This article analyzes the three stages of U.S.-Russian competition in the Syrian war: proxy war, direct military involvement, and finally the competition for leadership in post-war reconstruction. It also examines how, with the help of a "China plan," China and Russia have cooperated on the domestic and international fronts of the Syria war. Finally, by analyzing the causes, structural features and future developments of the trilateral relations among China, the US and Russia, the article finds that the inner logic and contradiction of the relationship as demonstrated in their approaches to the Syrian crisis have simultaneously deepened both cooperation and competition, posing new challenges for their future relations.
出处
《国际论坛》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第4期60-73,156-157,共16页
International Forum
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费预研项目“中俄外交转型与战略协作伙伴关系研究”(编号:3162014ZYKC07)
中央高校基本科研业务费重大项目“中俄美三角关系与当代国际秩序构建研究”(编号:3162016ZYKA01)的资助
