摘要
雄安新区建设是京津冀协同发展的历史性战略选择,必然会对京津冀城市群产生影响。采用灰色预测法对京津冀城市2022年人口和GDP进行预测,通过城市首位度、人口基尼系数、赫芬达尔-赫希曼指数、Zipf维数、地理联系率、经济联系强度等指标,考察城市群人口规模空间分布特征和经济联系强度空间特征。实证研究发现:雄安新区设立有利于京津冀城市群人口规模均衡分布,提高京津冀城市群的整体经济联系强度,推进京津冀城市群京津石核心区打造。进而从正确把握雄安新区建设的区域功能定位、创新地区间利益分享机制、推进京津冀城市群一体化建设、转移承接与建设同步等方面对雄安新区建设和京津冀城市群协同发展提出建议。
The establishment of the Xiong'an New Area is a historic and strategic choice for the coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH),which is bound to have an impact on the BTH urban agglomeration.This paper uses grey prediction method to predict the population and GDP of BTH urban area in 2022,and,through the urban primacy,the population Gini coefficient,the Herfindahl-Hirschman index,the Zipf dimension,the geographical contact rate,the economic contact intensity and so on,investigates the spatial distribution characteristics of urban agglomeration population scale and the spatial characteristics of economic connection intensity.Empirical research shows that:the establishment of the Xiong'an New Area is conducive to the balanced distribution of population size in BTH urban agglomeration,and improves the overall economic link strength of BTH urban agglomeration,and promotes the construction of core area of BTH urban agglomeration.This paper then puts forward some suggestions on the construction of the Xiong'an New Area and the coordinated development of the BTH urban agglomeration from the aspects that we should correctly grasp the regional function orientation of the construction of the Xiong'an New Area,innovate the benefit sharing mechanism among regions,promote the integration of BTH urban agglomeration,ensure the synchronization of transfer,undertaking and construction.
作者
方大春
裴梦迪
Fang Dachun;Pei Mengdi(Anhui University of Technology,Ma'anshan 243032,China)
出处
《当代经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2018年第4期60-65,共6页
Contemporary Economic Management
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(11CJL001)
安徽省2018年高校学科(专业)拔尖人才学术资助项目(gxbj ZD12)
关键词
雄安新区
京津冀城市群
空间特征
the Xiong'an New Area
Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration
spatial features
