摘要
最近几年,山西省经济增速全国垫底,经济转型发展问题迫在眉睫。现代物流业作为新兴的复合服务业,在经济发展中起到了"助推器"和"加速器"作用。因此,文章采用实证分析中的协整方法和格兰杰因果分析方法,研究了物流业发展与国民经济发展之间的关系,得到结论:物流业发展与国民经济发展之间存在协整关系,即两者间存在长期稳定的均衡关系;经济发展是物流业发展的格兰杰原因,即经济发展先于物流业的发展。
In recent years, Shanxi province＇s economic growth rate is at the bottom of the country, and the issue of economic transformation and development is imminent. As a new complex service industry, the modern logistics industry plays the role of“booster”and“accelerator”in economic development. Therefore, this paper studies the relationship between logistics development and national economic development by using the method of cointegration in empirical analysis and Granger causal analysis. The conclusion includes： there is a cointegration relationship between the development of logistics industry and national economic development, there being a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between the two; economic development is the Granger reason for the development of logistics industry, economic development preceding the development of logistics industry.
作者
石咏梅
SHI Yongmei(Business College of Shanxi University,Taiyuan 030031,China)
出处
《物流科技》
2018年第11期100-103,共4页
Logistics Sci-Tech
基金
山西省软科学研究课题支撑项目"基于灰色关联理论的山西省两业联动创新发展研究"(2017041028-5)
关键词
物流业
国民经济
协调发展
实证分析
logistics industry
national economic development
coordinated development
empirical study
