摘要
根据2008—2014年金砖国家有关创新能力指标的数据,通过变异系数法对金砖国家创新能力排名评价,利用灰色关联度分析方法研究金砖国家创新能力与产业结构升级之间的关系,研究发现:(1)经济实力是国家创新能力的重要基础,但并非最大影响因素;(2)金砖国家创新能力水平差异很大,在一定时期内具有较强的稳定性;(3)产业结构升级与创新能力各指标之间具有很强的关联性,各创新指标之间关联度差异较小;(4)在影响创新能力的众多因素中,创新基础和创新产出与产业结构升级关联度最高。针对分析结果,探寻提升金砖国家创新能力战略途径,提出促进产业结构升级的策略。
By collecting the data from 2008 to 2014 on the index of the innovative capacity of the BRICS countries, we evaluate the innovative capacity of BRICS countries through the coefficient of variation method and get the ranking. By using the Grey correlation method, we analyze the relationship between innovative capacity and industrial structure upgrading. The analysis shows that：（1） economic strength is an important foundation for national innovative capability, but it is not the biggest factor;（2） the levels of the innovative capability of the BRICS countries are very different and have strong stability in a certain period;（3） there is a strong correlation between the industrial structure upgrading and the innovative capacity index, and the correlation between the innovation indicators is small;（4） among the many factors that influence innovative capacity, the innovation base and innovation output have the highest correlation with industrial structure upgrading. Aiming at the analysis results, the strategy of improving the innovative capability of the BRICS countries is explored and the strategy of promoting industrial structure upgrading is put forward.
作者
阮红伟
姚海棠
RUAN Hong-wei;YAO Hai-tang(School of Commerce,Qingdao University,Qingdao 266071,China)
出处
《东方论坛（青岛大学学报）》
2018年第3期35-43,共9页
Eastern Forum（JOURNAL OF QINGDAO UNIVERSITY）
基金
山东省高等学校人文社会科学研究计划项目"基于PCA‐DEA组合模型和Malmquist指数的山东高校科技创新能力研究"(RW2018BZF049)
山东省高等学校人文社会科学研究项目"山东省扩大"一带一路"沿线国家来华留学生规模路径研究"(J17RA151)
关键词
金砖国家
创新能力
产业结构升级
BRICS country
innovative capacity
industrial structure upgrading
