摘要
本文通过编制山西省细化社会核算矩阵,利用乘数模型对山西省煤炭产业结构、煤炭产业和其他各个行业间的相互关系进行研究。通过乘数模型计算分解后发现煤炭产业的转移净效应和闭环净效应呈下降趋势,说明对山西省经济和对其他产业的拉动作用在下降,并且各个年度煤炭产业受到冲击后影响的产业是有差别的,经过结构化分析得出这些产业间影响的结构化路径,包括4条直接路径和3条间接路径。在此基础上,本文对山西省产业结构调整情况进行评价并提出政策建议。
By drawing up the detailed social accounting matrix of Shanxi province,this paper studies the structure of coal industry of Shanxi and the relationship between Shanxi＇s coal industry and other industries by multiplier model. After the decomposition of the multiplier model, it is found that the transfer net effect and the closed loop net effect of the coal industry are called downward trend. And it is illustrated that the driving effect on the economy of Shanxi province and other industries is declining. The industries that have been affected by the impact of the coal industry in each year are different. Through structured analysis, the structured path between these industries is obtained,including 4 direct paths and 3 indirect paths. On this basis,this paper evaluates the adjustment of industrial structure in Shanxi province and puts forward some policy suggestions.
作者
周彦喆
ZHOU Yanzhe1,2(1. School of Humanities and Economic Management, China University of Geosciences（Beijing）, Beijing 100083, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Carrying Capacity Assessment for Resource and Environment of Ministry of Land and Resources, Beijing 100083, China)
出处
《中国矿业》
北大核心
2018年第5期56-60,共5页
China Mining Magazine
关键词
乘数模型
社会核算矩准
煤炭产业
产业结构
山西省
multiplier model
social accounting matrix
coal industry
industrial structure
Shanxiprovince
