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我国高龄老人健康预期寿命的影响因素研究——基于Cox比例风险模型的分析 被引量:6

Study on the Influencing Factors of the Active Life Expectancy of the Elderly in China
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摘要 随着社会的老龄化进程加快,高龄老人的健康问题备受瞩目.利用CLHLS 2008-2011年的纵向数据,选取年龄、性别、城乡居住地、是否与子女同住、婚姻状况、受教育程度、烟酒习惯、体育锻炼习惯、是否患有慢性病、是否有养老保障等作为解释变量X,构建Cox比例风险模型,通过单因素分析和多因素分析得到我国高龄老人健康预期寿命的影响因素.从多因素分析结果知,年龄、女性、现有偶、吸烟、有锻炼身体是风险因素,居住在乡村、与子女同住、有养老保障是保护因素.所以,应采取改善乡村医疗条件、重视老年人的身心健康、完善养老保障体系等措施来延长高龄老人的存活时间. With the acceleration of the aging process in society, the healthy problems of the elderly have attracted much attention. The paper used the longitudinal data of CLHLS from 2008 to 2011,selected age, gender, place of residence, whether or not living with children, marital status, education, alcohol and tobacco habits, physical exercise habits, whether or not suffering from chronic diseases ,whether there is pension security as explanatory variables X, constructed Cox pioportional hazards model, and the influencing factors of the active life expectancy of the elderly in China were obtained through single factor analysis and multi-factor analysis. From the results of multi-factor analysis, age, women, existing couples, smoking and physical exercise are risk factors. Living in rural areas, living with children and having pension security are protective factors. Therefore, the survival time of the elderly should be prolonged by improving rural medical conditions, paying attention to the physical and mental health of the elderly, and improving the pension security system.
作者 吴悦 WU Yue(School of Economic and Management, Longyan University, Longyan Fujian 364000, Chin)
出处 《长沙大学学报》 2018年第2期101-103,共3页 Journal of Changsha University
基金 龙岩学院百名青年教师攀登项目(批准号:LQ2016012)
关键词 COX比例风险模型 高龄老人 健康预期寿命 Cox proportional risk model elderly active life expectancy
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