摘要
由于交通量不确定,公路PPP项目可能出现超额收益或收益不足的情况。根据收益共享、风险共担的原则,首先分析了合理收益的影响因素,并由此确定合理的收益上下限;其次,根据项目前n年收益指标,预测剩余(T-n)年内收益;最后,针对收益不符合预期要求的情况,建立交通量担保比例调整模型,以期为公路PPP项目进行合理的利益分配提供参考。
Due to traffic uncertainty,there may be less returns or excess earnings in highway PPP project. According to the principle of benefit sharing and risks sharing,the paper first provides an analysis of the influence factors of reasonable profits,and determines reasonable profit rate maximum value and minimum one. And then it predicts an expected profits in the remaining(T-n) years based on the actual profits of first n years. Finally,it develops an traffic guarantee proportion adjustment model to provide the reference on reasonable profits distribution during operation phase of highway PPP project.
出处
《公路工程》
北大核心
2018年第1期240-243,共4页
Highway Engineering
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(71573201)
关键词
公路PPP项目
合理收益
交通量担保比例
调整机制
public private partnership(PPP)
reasonable profits
traffic guarantee proportion
adjustment mechanism
