摘要
居民消费不足一直是中国经济发展中存在的一个问题,在农村贫困地区尤为显著。文章基于近10年的扩张性财政政策对消费的影响考虑,从农村居民消费的随机性假设出发,构建影响农村居民消费的理论模型,发现居民资产的累积和收入水平对消费起着决定性作用,并用2000~2013年中国农村贫困监测数据进行实证分析,发现贫困地区财政支出增加形成的消费型和生产型公共服务的供给改善、产业发展所致的贫困地区居民资产增加和居民的收入水平对贫困地区农村居民的消费影响有所差异,同时根据实证分析结果就如何促进贫困地区农村居民消费的政策安排进行思考。
Consumption inadequacy has always been a problem in China＇s economic develop- ment, especially in poor rural areas. By taking the influence of expansionary fiscal policy on con- sumption in the recent decade into consideration, the paper constructs a theoretical model on the influencing factors of resident consumptions in rural areas from the perspective of random walking hypothesis of rural resident consumption. The authors find out that asset accumulation and income level play decisive roles on consumption, and an empirical analysis is made by using rural poverty monitoring data of China from 2000 to 2013. The results show that the supply of public services in poor areas has been improved due to the increase of fiscal expenditure, the asset of residents in poor areas has been increased caused by industrial development and the influence of income level on resident consumption in the poor rural areas has been changed. Based on the results, discus- sions are made on how to make policy to promote resident consumption in poor rural areas.
出处
《云南财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第6期73-80,共8页
Journal of Yunnan University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"主体功能区规划下多民族地区城乡基本公共服务均等化问题研究"(71263053)
"城镇化过程中群体性事件化解的一个新视角:正确处理政府和市场在资源配置中的关系"(71663055)
云南省哲学社会科学研究基地课题"精准扶贫战略下云南省贫困地区扶贫开发政策的反馈机制研究"(JD2017YB17)
关键词
扩张性财政政策
贫困地区
农村居民消费
Expansionary Fiscal Policy
Poor Areas
Rural Resident Consumption
