摘要
"一带一路"倡议提出后,国内外联系日渐紧密,尤其是贸易和投资,由于"一带一路"沿线国家绝大多数为发展中国家,因而本文着重研究企业顺梯度OFDI所引致的经济效应。机理分析表明,企业顺梯度OFDI对其经济效应影响包括成本差距机制、资本反馈机制以及挤出效应机制,前两个机制具有正向效应,第三个机制为负向效应。随后数理模型的建立验证了机理分析所提出的三个假设,实证检验部分借助倾向得分匹配(PSM)研究方法对2014—2016年间微观企业数据进行验证,结果表明,中国企业在这三年中对"一带一路"沿线国家顺梯度OFDI的经济效应为负,说明正向机制弱于反向机制。同时,通过对比三年数据,发现"一带一路"倡议促进顺梯度OFDI的经济效应向利好方向转变。
The proposal of ＂One Belt and One Road＂ has brought an increasingly close contact at home and a- broad, especially in trade and investment. According to the dataset of ＂One Belt and One Road＂, the number of re- lated countries is sixty-four, which is divided into two lines ＂One Belt＂ and ＂One Road＂. Among the sixty-four countries, there are fifty-two countries are developing countries, and the other twelve are developed countries. Since most of related countries are developing countries, more attention should be paid to economic effect of micro enterprises＇ down-gradient OFD1. Benefits and challenges both exist during performing ＂One Belt and One Road＂. It is important to do some re- search on how to overcome negative factors and promote positive impact of ＂One Belt and One Road＂. This paper analyzes the subject from perspective of economy. Since most of surrounding countries are developing countries with imperfect infrastructures, the investment to infrastructures and other industries is significant point of performing ＂One Belt and One Road＂. Furthermore, the investment multiplier effect of capital makes it an important pillar of a countries＇ main engine of economic development. It is difficult to rely on the government investment projects to real- ize the purpose of ＂One Belt and One Road＂. To overcome this problem, the National Development and Reform Commission timely put forward a new work mechanism called ＂PPP＂, encouraging Chinese enterprises to go abroad and play their subjective initiative through public-private patterns. Under the background of ＂One Belt and One Road＂, Chinese enterprises＇ down-gradient OFDI can bring the corresponding economic effect. The analysis of the mechanism should be carried out from several perspectives. First, the analysis should start from generating point of Chinese industries＇ down-gradient and up-gradient OFDI which is related to the life cycle theory. Second,the motives of Chinese＇s enterprises＇ OFDI are being research
出处
《经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第12期24-40,共17页
Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"中国异质性企业战略资产获取型对外直接投资与产业竞争优势升级"(14BGJ043)
