摘要
人口迁移驱动的城镇化和农村人口空心化是我国现代化进程中两个并行而又相互关联的现象。本文以人口迁移空间选择特征为切入点,构建人口迁移、城镇化和农村人口空心化相互影响的分析框架,利用耦合协调度模型测算湖北省县域单元城镇化与农村人口空心化耦合协调度,在区域层面上审视二者的对应关系并计量分析其影响因素。研究结果表明,由于人口大量外流,湖北省多数县域人口城镇化滞后于农村人口空心化;由于流动人口市民化进程缓慢,绝大多数县域户籍人口城镇化与农村人口空心化的耦合协调度远低于常住人口城镇化;经济增长、城镇居民收入、城镇人口规模、是否首府县域、统计口径变化、山区地形是造成城镇化与农村人口空心化耦合协调度区域差异的主要因素;落后的二三产业无法创造充足、可持续的就业机会是县域城镇化与农村人口空心化相互脱节的深层次原因。
Urbanization and rural population hollowing driven by population migration are two parallel trends in the process ofC hina's modernization. Selecting spatial selection feature of population migration as the breakthrough point,this paper plan to build an analytical framework for the relationship among population migration,urbanization and rural population hollowing,and employ coupling coordination model to calculate the coupling coefficient of urbanization and rural population hollowing in Hubei province. The results show that urbanization was lagging behind population hollowing in most of counties in Hubei province,which is different with the total country. Insufficient and unsustainable job opportunities from industrial and serve duo to underdeveloped industry is the root cause of backward urbanization. There is significant regional difference between coupling coefficient of urbanization and rural population hollowing.
出处
《农业经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2017年第4期58-66,共9页
Issues in Agricultural Economy
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目(编号:15AJY014)
中南财经政法大学研究生创新教育计划项目(编号:2015B1011)
