摘要
在现代世界体系的框架中,俄罗斯一直是一个以欧洲"中心"为坐标,不断试图进入"中心"的"边缘"国家。苏联时期俄罗斯摆脱了世界体系,但是苏联解体后重新沦落到边缘位置,进入世界体系中心仍然是它的核心目标。"大欧洲"战略的失败推动了"大欧亚"战略的提出,深层次里反映了俄罗斯从"融入"到"重建"的转变。但是俄罗斯战略思想中"以空间换时间"的历史经验,以及"转向东方"的效果不彰,加重了俄罗斯的战略迟疑。从"大欧洲"到"大欧亚"的理念切换反映了俄罗斯面向亚太、在未来世界中获得新的基础的渴望,但是在世界新格局尚未定型、世界政治的发展仍处于不确定性的情况下,"大欧亚"与其说是一项面向未来的长远之策,不如说是一项临时脱困的权宜之计。
Under the framework of the modem global system, Russia has always been a peripheral country that seeking entry the "center" that is Europe. During the Soviet era, Russia succeeded in breaking with this system, but after the collapse of the USSR it was once again relegated to peripheral status, and once again set about striving towards a place at the center of the global system. The failure of the "Great Europe" strategy bought about the proposal for the "Great Eurasia" strategy, which reflects Russia's shift in focus from "integration" to "reconstruction" on a deep level. However, Russia's historical experiences of "trading space for time" and the ineffectiveness of its "pivot to the East" have only added to its strategic hesitation. The concept switch from "Great Europe" to "Great Eurasia" reflects Russia's desire to establish a new foundation in the Asia Pacific region. However, given the still changing shape of the current global order and the uncertainty of the future of global politics, dubbing "Great Eurasia" a long term policy is less accurate than labeling it a temporary stopgap to deal with Russia's current troubles.
出处
《俄罗斯学刊》
2017年第2期18-26,共9页
Academic Journal of Russian Studies