摘要
以2010年中国非竞争型区域间投入产出表为基础,对30个省区市的出口增加值进行核算,从全国和区域尺度分析其对产业结构的影响。结果显示:省域出口增加值对全国产业结构的影响存在显著差异,划分出资源消耗型、技术引领型、服务业促进型和出口起步型4类区域,前3类区域通过出口增加值分别提升了全国GDP中资源密集型产业、技术密集型产业和服务业的比例;从出口增加值对本地产业结构的影响来看,欠发达地区出口增加值普遍有利于推动本地产业结构升级,发达地区出口增加值提升了资源密集型产业和技术密集型产业在地区GDP中的比例,但阻碍了服务业比例的提升,出口增加值结构需要进一步优化。最后提出促进和改善出口增加值的政策建议。
There are significant differences existing among regions of China in terms of trade scale, trade structure and value-added in trade. With the development goals of economic development pattern transformation and innovation-driven strategy, studying the impact of provincial export on industrial structure has important theoretical meaning to optimize the regional trade structure and promote the pattern transformation. Value-added in exports of each province in China was calculated based on China＇s non-competitive multi-regional input-output table of 2010 in this study. Based on Exports Promotion Index, Industrial structure of value-added in exports was analyzed and compared with that at national and regional scale to assess its impact on industrial structure. The results showed that, significant differences existed in the impact of value-added in provincial exports on national industrial structure. According to the impact of value-added in exports on industrial structure, regions were divided into four types, i.e., resource-based region, technology-leading region, service-promotion region and export-starting region. The first three kinds of region promoted the percentage of resource-intensive, technology-intensive and service industry in GDP, respectively, which reflected that the resource-based region exports might hinder the transformation and upgrading of national industrial structure, and even deepen the path dependence on resource consumption, while technology-leading region and service-promotion region exports would be conducive to the transformation and upgrading of national industrial structure. However, the fourth type region showed limited impact on national industrial structure. At the provincial scale, regions were divided into six types according to the positive or negative impacts of value-added in exports on resource-intensive industry, technology-intensive industry and service industry. The first three types of regions promoted the three types of industries in regional GDP, but the last three types
出处
《热带地理》
2016年第6期1026-1033,共8页
Tropical Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41401126)
教育部人文社科青年基金项目(14YJC790061)
中国博士后基金(2014M551792)
关键词
区域间投入产出表
出口增加值
产业结构
区域差异
multi-regional input-output table
value added in exports
industrial structure
regional difference
