摘要
笔者对河南省1993年～2008年出口商品结构和产业结构升级之间的关系进行了协整检验和因果关系分析,结果表明,内陆省份如河南省,初级产品出口比重与第一产业比重之间、工业制成品出口比重与第二产业比重之间均存在长期的均衡关系,工业制成品出口比重与第三产业比重之间不存在长期的均衡关系。同时,第一产业比重的下降是导致初级产品出口比重下降的Granger原因,第二产业比重与工业制成品出口比重之间存在双向的Granger因果关系。
The author makes a co-integration test and Granger causality analysis of the relationship between the structure of export commodity of Henan province from 1993 to 2008 and the upgrading of industrial structure.The findings show that in inland provinces such as Henan province there is a long-term equilibrium between the export proportion of primary products and the export proportion of the first industry products,and between the export proportion of industrial finished products and the export proportion of t...
出处
《经济经纬》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第6期25-28,共4页
Economic Survey
基金
河南省科技厅软科学(082400420020)资助项目
关键词
出口商品结构
产业升级
协整检验
因果关系
structure of export commodity
upgrading of industrial structure
co-integration test
causality
