摘要
随着产业结构的优化,湖南省第三产业与经济增长的关系越来越密切。通过对1978-2010年湖南第三产业增加值和全省国民生产总值的平稳性检验、协整检验、误差修正模型和因果关系分析得出,经济增长对第三产业的发展明显的促进作用,而第三产业发展对经济增长有较大的拉动作用,但其贡献还有提升的空间,需采取多种措施促进湖南第三产业的发展。
With the industrial structure optimization in Hunan Province,the relationship between tertiary industry and economic growth is closing and closing.Through the stationarity test,cointegration test,error correction model and causality analysis of the data of the tertiary industry added value and the GDP of Hunan province from1978 to 2010,it is concluded that the economic growth have apparent stimulative effect on the tertiary industry development,and the tertiary industry development has a larger pulling to the economic growth,but its contribution have room for improvement,we need adopt a variety of measure to promote the development of the tertiary industry in Hunan.
出处
《特区经济》
北大核心
2011年第12期193-195,共3页
Special Zone Economy
关键词
第三产业
经济增长
协整
economic growth
tertiary industry
cointegration