摘要
资源、环境与经济的可持续发展一直是各国政府和人民关注的焦点,构建绿色、低碳的能源体系是我国能源革命的主要目标,也是我国经济可持续发展的重要战略.构建了消费者、生产部门和能源供给部门目标函数同时达到最优的一体化内生经济增长模型,对模型求解并进行了敏感性分析,着重分析了污染排放和经济增长的关系.结果表明:人均污染排放量增长率应与人均GDP增长率呈线性关系,且当化石能源使用更加清洁、低碳或减排技术更加进步时,人均环境增长率随人均GDP增长率的变化比原有速度要快;中国实际数据表明,尽管二氧化碳、废水、废气与经济的关系符合环境库兹涅兹曲线,但人均环境增长率与人均GDP增长率的关系并未达到最优状态.
The sustainable development of resources,environment and economy has been the focus of governments and public,and the construction of green and low-carbon energy system is the main goal of China＇s energy revolution,but also an important strategy for China＇s economic sustainable development.The paper constructed an integrated endogenous growth model which makes consumers,the production sector and energy supply sector to achieving optimal at the same time.We solved the model and made the sensitivity analysis.We further analyzed the relationship between emissions and economic growth.The results show that：the growth rate of emissions per capita and the growth rate of GDP per capita indicate a linear relationship;the growth rate of GDP growth per capital with environmental changes faster when fossil energy uses cleaner and more low-carbon or more advanced emission technology.According to the statistical data of China,although the relationship between carbon dioxide,waste water,waste gas and economy are in line with Environmental Kuznets Curve,but the relationship between the growth rate of emissions per capita and the growth rate of GDP per capita has not reached the optimal state.
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
北大核心
2016年第11期59-68,共10页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
基金
国家自然科学基金(71273206
71273207
71303184)
陕西省软科学研究计划项目(2015KRM112)
陕西省(高校)哲学社会科学重点研究基地科学研究计划项目(12JZ018)
西安科技大学哲学社会科学繁荣发展计划(2014SY03)
关键词
内生经济增长
环境约束
技术进步
资源替代
endogenous economic growth
environmental constraints
technological progress
resources substitution
