摘要
深入了解中亚五国的投资现状和投资潜力,对中国如何在这一地区进行有效投资具有重要意义。采用FDI业绩指数与潜力指数评价方法,运用UNCTAD和世界银行的数据,对2002—2011年中亚五国利用FDI的业绩和潜力进行定量比较分析。结果表明:中亚五国引资业绩突出,总体呈上升趋势,但各国利用FDI业绩不平衡;中亚地区引资潜力变化趋于平缓,并略有下降;哈萨克斯坦和土库曼斯坦利用FDI的综合能力较强,乌兹别克斯坦利用FDI的潜力突出,吉尔吉斯斯坦引资潜力较弱,塔吉克斯坦总体尚处于落后状态。在新形势下,中国对中亚五国的投资应明确各国的比较优势,适当调整投资策略。
The depth understanding and researching of the investment situation and potential have great significance to China for effective investment in Central Asia. By adopting the assessment method of performance index and potential index, using the data of UNCTAD and the World Bank, this paper makes a quantitative analysis on the performance and potential of attracting FDI in the five Central Asian countries during 2002--2011. The result shows that the performance of attracting FDI was prominent and improved, but unbalanced ; the changes of potential of attracting FDI was leveled off and declined slightly, and some elements scores of its potential index were not con- sistent in order; Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan had a strong ability of attracting FDI, Uzbekistan had prominent potential of attracting FDI, Kyrgyzstan had poor potential of attracting FDI, Tajikistan was in a backward state overall. Then the implications for China is that it should be known the comparative advantages of the five Central Asian countries, and revise the investment strategy. Based on that, China can achieve better investment results.
出处
《地域研究与开发》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第2期29-35,共7页
Areal Research and Development
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究西部和边疆地区规划基金项目(11XJAZH001)
