摘要
2011年"阿拉伯之春"后的北非局势陷入动荡,为恐怖主义在该地区的扩展提供了机遇,秉持伊斯兰极端组织教义的"基地"组织马格里布分支不断扩张,北非、中非、西非和东非面临的反恐形势日益严峻。本文主要探讨了"基地"组织马格里布分支在非洲的历史源起和发展。通过分析过去数年"基地"组织马格里布分支的袭击和绑架事件,归纳了该组织在非洲的行为特点,并认为,经历了多年的发展"基地"组织马格里布分支在活动地域上逐渐南移,在组织构成上更加"多元",在组织架构上不断"碎化"。结合相关当事国和西方国家对非洲恐怖主义的应对策略,中国应当对"基地"组织马格里布分支的扩张保持必要的警惕。
The situation in North and West Africa still suffers political unrest after "Arab Spring", while the terrorist groups such as Al Qaeda expands their influence throughout this area. This paper details how prior to the establishment of al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb (AGIM), Meghrebis--that is, Algerians, Moroccans, Tunisians and others--made up a significant percentage of the foreign fighters in the al Qaeda-led insurgency in Iraq, thus helping to build the trust networks between al Qaeda headquarter and the Maghreb-based groups. Based on the characteristics of AGIM through quantitative analysis, combined with restrictions to the expansion of AGIM taken by regional and international communities, it summarizes the challenges China is faced with and the possible solutions.
出处
《阿拉伯世界研究》
北大核心
2015年第2期52-64,共13页
Arab World Studies