摘要
长期以来,中国经济发展特征可以概括为＂偏倚投资拔高增速＂。近年来,人口城镇化滞后难题快速显现,促进区域经济增长与人口城镇化协调共进才能实现可持续的城镇化。本文运用1994～2011年省际面板数据估计发现,区域经济增长目标约束下,基础设施投资效率与规模的匹配程度呈现明显的时空差异,投资效率与规模失调导致基础设施投资人口城镇化效应受阻。如果以2003年为转折时点,刻画匹配程度的区间阀值反映出吻合向偏离转向的趋势,投资促进区域经济增长与人口城镇化协调共进格局被打破,投资效率与规模扩张不相适宜。
For a long time, Chinese economic development characteristics can be summarized as ＂rapid growth biased on overstating investment＂; in recent years, the population urbanization lag problems appear rapidly, identify the coordination between regional economic growth and population urbanization in order to achieve sustainable urbanization. Our estimate result using provincial panel data in 1994-2011 found that, the matching degree of infrastructure investment efficiency and scale under the constraint of regional economic growth target showed significant differences in spatial and temporal scale, the imbalance in the efficiency of investment and scale of infrastructure investment leads to the effect of population urbanization blocked. Take 2003 as the turning point, intervals threshold characterizing the degree of matching reflects the shift trend of consistency to deviation. The pattern of investment promoting coordination of regional economic growth and population urbanization is broken, efficiency of investment and scale expand is not appropriate.
出处
《山西财经大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第3期60-69,共10页
Journal of Shanxi University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家社会科学基金项目"城乡
区域发展不平衡对城市化的影响及对策研究"(12CJL041)
国家发改委(地区司)资助项目"实现区域协调与联动发展的理论与对策研究"(2013-47-12)
教育部人文社会科学研究项目"协调与共富发展目标下的区域城市化联动机制研究"(12YJC790053)
关键词
区域经济增长
人口城镇化
基础设施投资
regional economic growth
population urbanization
infrastructure investment
