摘要
本文通过对戴蒙德世代交叠模型进行拓展分析,探究延迟退休政策对我国养老金支出和经济增长水平的影响,结果表明:延迟退休政策的实行有利于提高养老金的支出水平,但跨期劳动力投入增加所带来的人均资本存量以及生产效率的下降与劳动力的要素收入效应形成反向对比,使总产出呈现了先下降后上升的U型变化特征。此外,研究还发现,资本产出份额和工资所得税的变化对于延迟退休的政策效应具有显著影响。
This paper investigates how postponing mandatory pension age affect the pension welfare and aggregate output by further analyzing the overlapping generation model. Results show that the raise of pension age is helpful to enhance the pension expenditure standard. But the aggregate output shows U - shaped characters under the inversed influences of increased labor input and decreased labor income. Furthermore, we found exogenous parameters such as capital share of output and income tax have significant influence on the effects of postponing pension age.
出处
《经济体制改革》
CSSCI
北大核心
2015年第1期195-200,共6页
Reform of Economic System
基金
广东省哲学社会科学"十二五"规划后期资助项目"广东制造业集聚:绩效与成因分析"(GD11HYJ01)
关键词
延迟退休
养老金支出水平
经济增长
世代交叠模型
数值模拟
postponing retirement
pension expenditure
economic growth
overlapping generation model
numerical simulation