摘要
深入研究中国煤炭消费影响因素及其作用强度,对中国节能减排政策的科学制定具有重要的现实意义。基于LMDI分解法定量分析了经济增长、产业结构、能源消费结构和能源效率四个因素对中国煤炭消费增长的影响。结果发现:经济增长是拉动中国煤炭增长的决定性因素,产业结构和能源消费结构的变动对中国煤炭消费增长也具有正向影响,能源效率的提高是抑制中国煤炭消费的主要因素。根据分析结果,本文对调控煤炭消费的政策进行了延伸性讨论,认为煤炭消费调控政策的重点在于抑制因经济增长方式不合理而引致的煤炭消费不合理增长,并从产业结构调整、能源消费结构调整和能源效率提高三个层面,提出了抑制煤炭消费不合理增长的若干建议。
A further study on China＇s coal consumption influencing factors and the intensity of their effects will contribute to the proper formulation of sound energy conservation and emission reduction policy in China .In this paper ,the influencing factors of economic growth ,industrial structure ,energy efficiency and energy consumption structure on China’s coal consumption are analyzed in detail via LMDI method .The result shows that ,in China ,the economic growth is the dominant factor that pulls the rapid growth of coal consumption ,the variation of industrial structure and energy consumption structure also has a positive impact on coal consumption grow th ,and the improvement of energy efficiency is the major factor that has restrained the coal consumption growth .According to the result of the analysis ,the coal consumption regulation policy is deeply discussed in this paper and it is believed that the key point of coal consumption regulation policy is to curb unreasonable growth of coal consumption caused by the unreasonable mold of economic growth .And then ,some proposals are put forward from three aspects ：the adjustment of industrial structure ,the optimization of energy consumption structure and the improvement of energy efficiency .
出处
《中国矿业》
北大核心
2014年第8期42-45,87,共5页
China Mining Magazine
基金
国家软科学研究计划项目资助(编号:2013GXS4D151)
陕西省软科学研究计划重点项目资助(编号:2012KR2-01)
陕西省教育厅人文社会专项基金项目资助(编号:12JK0021)
陕西省教育厅(高校)哲学社会科学重点研究基地建设项目资助(编号:12JZ018)
