摘要
利用1953～2003年的年度数据,采用协整分析技术,误差修正模型和Granger因果关系检验方法,检验了中国的能源消费总量以及各组成部分(煤炭、石油、天然气、水电)的消费量和国内生产总值之间的关系,实证表明,中国的能源消费总量与GDP之间存在协整关系,能源消费促进经济增长,但中国的能源消费结构需要改善.
This paper analyzed the relation between energy （coal, oil, gas, electricity） and GDP with cointegration techniques, error correct model and Granger - causality according to the yearly data from 1953 to 2003 in China. It is found that there exists a cointegration relationship between energy consumption and GDP, energy consumption can advance economic increase, but structure of energy consumption in China needs to be improved.
出处
《哈尔滨理工大学学报》
CAS
2005年第4期117-120,共4页
Journal of Harbin University of Science and Technology
