摘要
用电市场景气分析对电力规划、建设、生产、决策具有重要意义,因此提出了基于产业和行业角度的电力景气指数研究。首先,分析了电力行业景气指数编制的流程,依次研究了基于X-12RIMA的电力数据预处理方法、基于时差分析的指标划分算法,以及对电力景气指标的编制方法,编制方法主要包括扩散指数法和合成指数法。然后,提出了电力景气指数的非线性分析方法,基于产业和行业角度采用此方法对电力景气指数进行分析。最后,根据厦门电力局的电力数据进行仿真实验,对电力景气指标编制,并对产业和行业的电力指数进行了分析。实验结果证明,所提方法与实际情况相吻合,验证了所提方法的有效性。
Analysis of electricity market climate is of great significance to power planning, construction, production and decision-making. This paper presents a study on the power economy index based on industry and industry. First, the paper analyzes the process of compiling the prosperity index of the power industry. According to the compilation process, the power data preprocessing method based on x-12 rima, the index division algorithm based on the time difference analysis, and the compilation method of the power climate indicators are studied successively. The preparation methods include diffusion index method and synthetic index method. Then, the analysis method of electric power boom index is put forward. Based on the industrial and industrial perspective, this method is used to analyze the electric power boom index. Finally, based on the power data of Xiamen electric power bureau, the simulation experiment was carried out, and the power boom indicators were compiled, and the power indexes of the industry and the industry were analyzed. The experimental results show that the proposed method is consistent with the actual situation, and the validity of the proposed method is verified.
作者
邱向京
黄鑫
洪兰秀
林云芳
Qiu Xiangjing;Huang Xin;Hong Lanxiu;Lin Yunfang(State grid Fujian Electric Power Company,Fuzhou 35001 ,China;State Grid Fujian Economic Research Institute, Fuzhou 350001,China;Great Power Science and Technology Corporation State Grid Information & Telecommunication Group,Fuzhou 350003,China)
出处
《国外电子测量技术》
2018年第12期14-20,共7页
Foreign Electronic Measurement Technology
关键词
电力
景气
指标
产业
行业
electricity
boom
indicator
industry
