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基于推拉理论的农民工定居地选择意愿的实证研究 被引量:42

Empirical Study on the Place of the Employed Farmers Be Willing to Settle Based on Push and Pull Theory
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摘要 首先运用推拉理论从理论上分析哪些因素影响农民工定居地选择意愿,然后利用河南省汝州市187个外出打工农民样本数据,运用Logistic模型分析方法,进行实证检验。结果显示,农民工收入越高和年龄越小越倾向于在打工城市定居;外地人子女入学受歧视和老家经营的耕地面积大,倾向于回农村老家定居;打工城市为省会城市、直辖市和中心镇与对照组地级市或县城比较,在打工城市定居的意愿会下降;打工城市位于东部或是西部地区较对照组中部地区比较,在打工城市定居的意愿也会下降。最后,提出了相关建议。 This paper using push-pull theory to analyze that what will influence employed farmers' want of where to settle, and then use of 187 sample data of employed farmers from Ruzhou City He' nan Province and Logistic model method to em- pirical test. The results show that, the higher income and younger employed farmers, more inclined to settle in the city; if outsider' s children admission is discriminated and larger the cultivated area in rural home, more likely to settle back to his rural home ; if they work in capital cities, municipalities and town, the willing to settle in the work city will decline com- pared with work in the prefecture-level city or county; if work in eastern or western cities as compared with the control group, the central regions, the willingness to settle in the city will fall. Finally put forward some suggestions.
出处 《软科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2014年第3期40-44,共5页 Soft Science
基金 国家自然科学青年基金项目(41201125) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(11YJC790172) 浙江省社科联项目(2013B062) 浙江农林大学中国农民发展研究中心资助项目
关键词 农民工 定居地 推拉理论 LOGISTIC模型 employed farmers settlement push and pull theory logistic model
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