摘要
在生产组织变革与专业分工细化的背景下，生产性服务业快速壮大，对制造业发展起到了至关重要的作用。与以往研究不同，本文将生产性服务业和制造业看做一个整体，通过构建纳入适应性预期的动态两部门模型考察了生产性服务业对制造业的带动效应，并以2004-2010年中国省际面板数据为样本进行了实证检验，结果表明：从全国来看，生产性服务业明显推动了制造业发展，生产性服务业产出增加100％可带来制造业产出提高219．5％；按地区分组的回归结果显示，中西部地区生产性服务业的外溢效应低于东部地区；在不同细分行业中，金融业、交通运输、仓储及邮政业和科学研究、技术服务和地质勘查业对制造业具有相对较强的正效应，但任一细分行业单独的外溢效应均明显低于生产性服务业的总体作用。
In the background of productive organization change and specialized division refinement,the producer services grow fast and have played a vital role in manufacturing development. Different from previous research,this article will regard producer services and manufacturing sector as a whole. Through constructing a dynamic two-sector model considering adaptive expectations,the driving effects of the producer services to manufacturing is investigated,and then an empirical test based on 2004 ~ 2010 inter-provincial panel data sample is carried on. The results show that producer services significantly promoted the development of manufacturing industries from the national perspective,and specifically producer services output increased by 100% is to bring manufacturing output increased by 219. 5%. From the regional perspective,the spillover effects of central and western regions of producer services below the eastern regions,but the leading role of producer services in the eastern provinces is not significant. In different industry segments,financial services and transport-storage-postal industries have relatively stronger positive effect on manufacturing than others.
出处
《产业经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2014年第1期23-30,80,共9页
Industrial Economics Research
基金
国家软科学研究计划项目"产业共生视角下整机带动零部件技术升级的机制与政策研究"(项目编号:2013GXS4D108)
中央高校基本科研业务费专项项目"纵向关联企业创新能力的协同提升机制
治理模式与政策设计:产业共生的视角"(项目编号:DUT13RW304)
辽宁省教育厅科学研究一般项目"战略性新兴产业演化模型:技术
需求与制度协同的视角"(项目编号:L2013039)
