摘要
通过构建两部门理论模型,并基于1997—2012年中国省际面板数据,实证检验了人口城镇化对工业结构升级的影响。结果表明,人口城镇化显著地促进了工业结构升级,但其存在门槛效应和地区差异。人口城镇化对工业结构升级的作用服从边际递减规律,随着人口城镇化水平的上升,人口城镇化的正向促进效应逐渐减弱。当人口城镇化水平超过0.763时,其效应已不明显。与沿海地区相比,内陆地区人口城镇化的效应要更显著一些。据此,提出了相应的政策建议。
Based on two-sector theoretical model and China＇s provincial panel data during 1997—2012,this paper empirically tests the impact of population urbanization on upgrading of industrial structure. The results shows that population urbanization significantly promotes the upgrading of industrial structure in general,but with threshold effect and regional differences. The effect of population urbanization on upgrading of industrial structure obeys the law of diminishing marginal,which means the positive effect is gradually decreasing along with the rise of the population urbanization. When the population urbanization level is more than 0. 763,its effect is not obvious. Compared with the coastal areas,the effect of population urbanization in inland areas is more significant. Accordingly,the policy suggestions are put forward.
出处
《产业经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2016年第4期29-38,共10页
Industrial Economics Research
基金
国家社科基金重点项目(13AJY006)
国家社科基金一般项目(10JY061)
全国文化名家暨"四个一批"人才项目
重庆市哲学社会科学领军人才特支计划项目
关键词
人口城镇化
工业结构升级
两部门模型
门槛效应
地区差异
population urbanization
upgrading of industrial structure
two-sector model
threshold effect
regional differences
