摘要
移民汇款促进经济增长效应在实证检验中尚未得到证实。移民汇款可能存在阻碍母国经济增长的效应,其内在机制被归结于移民汇款引起了母国实际汇率升值、出口竞争力下降,从而导致"荷兰病"。移民汇款流入在中国国际收支中已成为越来越重要的一项国际资本流动。通过实证检验的结果表明:中国国际移民汇款流入存在显著的实际汇率升值效应,且实际汇率与移民汇款之间存在相互影响关系。中国移民汇款存在显著的宏观经济效应,应成为宏观经济政策的调控变量之一。
It was difficult to get a significant and consistent result which confirmed the effect of remittances on the economic growth in previous empirical studies.The mechanism of remittances impeding the growth was attributed to the effect of remittance on real exchange rate appreciation and decline of export competitiveness,which leads to'Dutch disease'.With the increasing of Chinese immigrants in recent years,immigrants remittance plays a more and more important role in international balance of payment.The paper tests an empirical examination on Chinese remittances inflow and the conclusion is that remittance has a significant effect on real exchange rate appreciation in China,and the two variables can influence each other.Remittance should become a regulation and control variable of macroeconomic policy in China.
出处
《世界经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第9期30-36,88,共7页
World Economy Studies
基金
厦门大学国际经济与贸易系教育发展基金的资助
