摘要
论文采用1982-2015年时间序列数据,通过实证分析方法梳理了改革开放以来中国侨汇收入的基本情况,重点就中国侨汇收入对经济发展的影响进行了研究。结果显示,改革开放以来侨汇收入对中国经济增长具有长期稳定明显促进作用,同时也能在短期内较小程度地即时影响经济增长;改革开放以来,侨汇收入与中国经济增长表现为单向因果关系。即侨汇收入虽能显著推动经济增长,但经济发展对移民汇款变化没有明显影响;侨汇收入对经济发展的作用存在时间滞后效应。论文还在建立并探索国家侨汇收入统计体系、着力推动和改进侨汇政策优化、加强对侨汇资源的管理和引导等方面提出了有关建议,以期更好地发挥侨汇资源促进经济增长的重要作用。
Adopted series data from 1982 to 2015,this paper analyzes the basic situation of China’s remittance income since the Reform and Opening-up through empirical analysis,focusing on the impact of China’s remittance income on economic development.Findings show that since the Reform and Openingup,remittance income has a significant and stable positive effect on China’s economic growth in the long run,but also can affect the economic growth in a small degree in the short term.The remittance income and China’s economic growth show a one-way causal relationship,i.e.,although remittance income can significantly promote economic growth,economic development has no significant impact on the change of remittance;the effect of remittance income on economic development has a time lag effect.The paper also puts forward some suggestions on establishing and exploring the national statistical system of remittance income,promoting and improving the optimization of remittance policy,strengthening the management and guidance of remittance resources.
作者
林昌华
LIN Chang-hua(Institute for Economics,Fujian Academy of Social Sciences,Fuzhou 350001,China;School of Marxism,China Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 102488,China)
出处
《华侨华人历史研究》
CSSCI
2018年第4期34-41,共8页
Journal of Overseas Chinese History Studies
基金
福建社会科学院2017年度重点课题"区城协调发展战略先进经验借鉴及福建路径"(课题编号:52182901)之阶段性成果
关键词
改革开放
中国经济
经济增长
侨汇
侨汇政策
侨汇管理
国际移民
Reform and Opening-up
China’s economy
economic growth
overseas remittance
remittance policy
remittance management
international migrant
