摘要
利用了1978-2009年之间的碳排放量和城市居民的人均可支配收入、城市人口密度以及城市第三产业的就业人数等时间序列数据,分析了人口城市化与碳排放之间的内在机理和动态机制。城市居民的人均可支配收入对碳排量存在正的效应;而城市人口密度和城市第三产业的就业人数从长期来看对碳排量存在负的效应。提出了几项政策建议,期望引起相关决策部门的重视。
By using the time series data such as carbon emissions, per capita disposable income of urban residents, urban population density and urban tertiary industry employment from 1978 to 2009; this paper analyzes the inherent mechanism and dynamic mechanism between population urbanization and carbon emission. And the research shows that per capita disposable income of urban residents affects carbon emission positively; whereas in the long run, urban population density and urban tertiary industry employment will have a negative effect upon carbon emissions. In this regard, the author puts forward some political suggestions, expecting to draw attention from the department of decision.
出处
《人口与发展》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第1期38-43,12,共7页
Population and Development
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"中国人口城市化低碳发展战略研究"(10ZD&032)
关键词
人口城市化
碳排放
动态机制
population urbanization
carbon emissions
dynamic mechanism
