摘要
结合海上油气生产作业的特点对认知可靠性与失误分析方法(CREAM)中的共同绩效条件进行改进,并引入可靠性影响指数来表征任务环境的综合特征,以此推导出一种简化的人误概率(HEP)计算方法;然后采用Markov方法以HEP为参数进行人因可靠度函数建模,并利用CREAM中的控制模式导出海洋工程人因可靠性评价标准.对渤海某平台的人因可靠性分析的结果表明,该方法合理易行,具有推广价值.
According to the characteristics of offshore production operations, the common performance conditions （CPC） from cognitive reliability and error analysis method （CREAM） were improved, and a reliability impact index was presented to characterize the overall contexts of tasks. Using the reliability impact index, a simplified quantitative method for determining human error probability （HEP） was derived. Furthermore, a human reliability analysis model was established based on Markov method. And based on the control model from CREAM, a human reliability assessment criterion was presented. An example of the application of this method was given, and results showed that the established model was reasonable and practical.
出处
《天津大学学报》
EI
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2011年第10期914-919,共6页
Journal of Tianjin University(Science and Technology)
基金
国家科技重大专项资助项目(2008ZX05026-006)
上海交通大学海洋工程国家重点实验室研究基金资助项目
关键词
人因可靠性分析
海洋工程
认知可靠性与失误分析方法
人误概率
human reliability analysis
offshore engineering
cognitive reliability and error analysis method
human error probability
