摘要
中国经济在快速增长同时,新增价值在产出中比例不断下降。本文在非竞争型投入产出框架下,分别运用结构分解方法和迪氏指数分解方法,从不同的角度对中国的增加值率1987～2007年下降的现象进行研究。结果表明,在研究期间中国增加值率从1987年的0.480下降到2007年的0.323,下降幅度达到32.63%。从行业结构角度来看,中国增加值率的下降与我国产业结构的两次变迁有关,是工业化进程中不可避免的结果;从最终需求角度分析,初次投入结构变动以及生产过程中进口中间品比例增加是导致增加值率下降的主要原因。最后,本文还结合分析结果对提高中国经济增长质量提供了相关建议。
The share of new value-added in output has been declining with the explosive growth of economics in China. This paper investigates the declining trend of value-added rate from 1987 to 2007 under the framework of non-competitive input-output by SDA and LMDI methods. It has been found that the valueadded rate had dropped from 0. 4798 in 1987 to 0. 3233 in 2007 and the decrease margin had been 32.63 percent. It has been concluded that the declining trend of value-added rate is related to the structure change of China＇s economics, which is the inevitable result of industrialization process. From the final demand perspective, the change of initial input structure and the increasing share of intermediate inputs imported from aboard are the main reasons of the declining trend. At last, some suggestions are given for enhancing the quality of China＇s economics based on the conclusions drawn in this paper.
出处
《南方经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第9期30-42,共13页
South China Journal of Economics
关键词
增加值率
非竞争型
投入产出理论
Value-added Rate
Non-competitive
the Input-output Theory
