摘要
本文基于投入产出法,利用日本RIETI-TID数据库测算了中国1997～2008年的承接外包水平与对外发包水平,并细分不同路线和形式的外包活动,构建了动态面板模型。利用广义矩估计方法从微观角度检验了外包对我国主要产业就业的动态效应。结果表明:总体上对外发包和承接外包均会对长期就业水平有积极影响,其中对外发包作用更大;制造业中,尽管承接加工品、零配件和资本品对长期就业的影响系数为负,但可以通过产出的扩大间接正向拉动就业;相对于对外发包的显著影响,吸收外商直接投资和消费品出口行为对长期就业影响不显著。
Based on the input-output method, this paper measures the Chinese main industries＇ undertaking outsourcing and foreign outsourcing index from 1997 to 2008 using the Japanese RIETI-TID database, subdivides the different routes and types of outsourcing activities, constructs the dynamic panel data model, and makes a comprehensive analysis of outsourcing＇s influence on China＇s main industries＇ em- ployment from 1997 to 2008 using the GMM method from a micro perspective. The results show that, generally both foreign outsourcing and undertaking outsourcing have positively influence on the long-term employment. Though undertaking out- sourcing for processed goods, parts and accessories and capital influence index of goods is minus, the manufacturing industry can pull the employment indirectly through enlarging output. The inward FDI and export of consumable goods are rela- tive insignificant variables for employment.
出处
《数量经济技术经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第9期103-117,共15页
Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics
基金
中国博士后科学基金(编号:20110491322)的资助
关键词
外包
承接外包
就业
动态面板
Outsourcing
Undertaking Outsourcing
Employment
Dynamic Panel Data
