摘要
对于不同地区、不同污染物而言,经济增长与环境质量之间的关系不尽相同,表现为环境库兹涅茨曲线呈现地域性和时间性差异。本文在回顾相关研究成果的基础上,采用山东省17个城市1995～2008年的面板数据,建立涵盖污染物排放指标和环境监测指标两大类、11种环境指标与人均GDP之间的计量经济模型,对环境质量变化与山东省经济增长的关系进行实证检验,比较污染排放指标与环境监测指标的检验结果,进而评估人口规模、产业结构、对外开放以及环境政策等控制变量对污染物排放和环境质量的影响。结果显示,尽管部分环境指标处于下行通道,但山东省环境目前整体状况和未来趋势不容乐观,应进一步加大节能减排力度,完善污染治理的体制机制,改善治理效果。
The relationship of economic growth and environmental quality varies from different pollutants and in different regions, resulting in spatio-temporal diversity of Environmental Kuznets Curve （EKC）. Following an overall review on the related literature, this paper sets up econometric models on the relationship of 11 kind environmental quality indexes（coveting both pollutant emission index and environmental monitoring index） and GDP per capita based upon the panel data of 17 cities in 1995 -2008 to test the EKC of Shandong Province. Further EKC hypothesis is estimated with the main control variables which effect pollutant emissions, such as population, technology advancement, international trade and environmental policy. The outome of EKC test indicates the environmental quality of Shandong Province is pos- siblely deteriorating along with the increase of GDP even following the downturn of some of the environmental indexes. Therefore, it calls for more environment treatment investments and improvement of the treatment efficiency.
出处
《经济管理》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第3期37-46,共10页
Business and Management Journal ( BMJ )
基金
中国社会科学院2010年度国情调研项目"山东省工业污染排放情况及治理效果"
关键词
经济增长
环境质量
环境库兹涅茨曲线
污染物
economic growth
evironmental quality
Environmental Kuznets Curve （EKC）
pollutant
