摘要
本文借助中国30个省份1998~2008年的面板数据,以数据包络分析（DEA）得到的人力资本投资效率来指代各省的人力资本情况,综合采用普通面板回归、空间面板回归、门限面板回归以及平滑转换面板回归这四种回归模型进行分析后发现：人力资本投资效率在对经济增长有着显著贡献的同时,还存在明显的空间外溢效应和门限效应。基于这一结论,本文认为应当加大对邻省较多、经济发展水平较高且人力资本投资效率较低省份的科教支出并努力提升这些省份的人力资本投资效率;而对经济发展水平较低且人力资本投资效率较高的省份,不适宜从改进人力资本投资效率的思路来追求更快速的经济增长。
This paper develops a new DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) to get a new index to denote human capital in different areas in order to include the messages from input and output variables.We find that human capital investment efficiency has positive effects on economic growth,spillover effects and threshold effects,by means of using the panel data through 1998-2008 from 30 provinces in China and four kinds of panel regression methods(ordinary panel regression,spatial panel regression,panel threshold regression,and panel smooth threshold regression).We thus believe that the government should invest more on human capital in provinces with more adjacent provinces,higher economic growth level and lower efficiency of human capital investment.However,for those provinces with higher efficiency of human capital investment and lower economic growth level,it is of little use to develop human capital investment efficiency to inspire economic growth.
出处
《当代经济科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第6期15-22,共8页
Modern Economic Science
