摘要
石油战略储备基地选址是建设石油战略储备的首要性工作。本文首次提出了石油战略储备运行过程模型,围绕储备石油获得可靠性、储备石油输入便捷性、储备石油储存优越性以及储备石油动用有效性四个方面对石油战略储备基地选址的影响因素进行探讨。在此基础上,完成石油战略储备基地选址指标体系的构建,并运用该指标体系对浙江宁波镇海、山东青岛黄岛、江苏淮安、重庆和甘肃兰州进行评价。随后将评价结果与现有的石油战略储备基地选择情况进行对照分析,验证了本指标体系较好的可行性和合理性,可为后续石油战略储备基地的选择提供参考。
Site selection is the first step for establishing a strategic petroleum reserve （SPR）. The paper presents an original process model for the circulation of strategic petroleum reserves. The factors affecting site selection for SPR bases include 4 categories： reliability and security, convenience of transport, natural site advantages and availability for utilization. An index system for site selection of SPR bases was established based on the analysis of these factors, with a total of 16 practical.indexes. The weight of each index was determined using mathematical methods such as Delphi and Analytic Hierarchy Process（AHP）.
Zhenhai, Huangdao, Huai＇an, Lanzhou and Chongqing were chosen as potential sites and evaluated using the index system. The results show that Zhenhai has the highest index value and therefore is the most attractive site, followed by Huangdao, Lanzhou, Chongqing, and Huai＇an in that order. The coastal sites of Zhenhai and Huangdao clearly have higher values for SPR utilization than the inland sites of Huai＇an, Lanzhou and Chongqing. In terms of storage method, Huai＇an, where petroleum is stored underground, is ranked as the least appropriate strategic reserve location, which suggests that there is no clear advantage to China＇s existing underground storage facilities. Thus, it makes sense that the first group of sites selected for China＇s strategic petroleum reserve consisted of coastal sites with above-ground storage facilities.
In comparing the results of this study with the SPR bases that have currently been chosen, we can confirm the feasibility and rationality of our index system, which may be a useful tool for future use in site selection.
出处
《资源科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2008年第4期565-571,共7页
Resources Science
基金
国家自然科学基金项目:“非传统安全与中国石油安全态势评估研究”(项目批准号:NO.70473103)
“石油地缘政治格局演变的驱动力机制研究”(项目批准号:No.40671056)
中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所创新三期“世界资源格局与中国资源地缘政治”(编号:NO.066U0401SZ)
关键词
石油战略储备
基地
指标体系
评价
Strategic petroleum reserve
Index system
Evaluation
