摘要
针对我国农产品贸易条件的问题，测算了1993～2003年我国农产品价格和收入贸易条件指数，分析贸易条件及其变动趋势。研究结果表明：我国农产品的价格贸易条件有恶化趋势，2003年的指数达最低点，为0．89；收入贸易条件指数在0．84—1．30之间变动。10年来，我国对美国和阿根廷的价格贸易条件指数均小于1；对巴西则基本都大于1，最大值达1．42。主要进口农产品中，豆油的价格贸易条件指数在0．84。5．87之间波动；棕榈油的指数有增加趋势，2003年达到峰值1．79；大豆的指数变动平稳，最大值为1．15，最小值为0.82；小麦的指数在0．74。1．66之间波动。4种进口产品的收入贸易条件指数波动幅度非常大。主要出口农产品中，玉米、大米和葱蒜的贸易条件无论价格还是收入都出现恶化趋势，尤其是葱蒜，2003年的价格和收入指数分别降至0．45和0．54。整体来看，我国农产品的价格贸易条件亟待改善。图2，表2，参10。
Aiming at terms of trade, the terms of trade index of China＇ s agricultural products during 1993 - 2003 are calculated and the trend of terms of trade is analyzed. The following conclusions are drawn（1）There is deteriorating trend in price terms of trade of agricultural products, and minimum value of the index is 0.89; but income one not, and the index covers 0.84 to 1.30; （2）Price terms of trade index between China and U.S.A, between China and Argentina has always been deteriorating, but ameliorating between China and Brazil; （3）Among the main importing agricultural products, price terms of trade index of bean oil covers 0.84 - 5.87; palm 0.43 - 1.79; soja 0.82 - 1.15 ; and wheat 0.74 - 1.66. Income terms of trade index of the four products fluctuated drastically; （4）Among the main exporting products, both price and income terms of trade of corn and rice are deteriorating,especially shallot and garlic, the two index fell to 0.45 and 0.54 respectively.The terms of trade needs to be improved urgently.
出处
《农业系统科学与综合研究》
CSCD
2007年第2期227-230,235,共5页
System Sciemces and Comprehensive Studies In Agriculture
基金
农业部课题"农产品关税减让策略体系及关键问题研究"
关键词
农产品
对外贸易
贸易条件
贸易条件指数
agricultural products
foreign trade
terms of trade
terms of trade index
