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基于“θ”值法的民间金融规模测算——以合肥市为例

Calculation of Private Finance Scale Based on “θ” Value Method: A Case Study of Hefei City
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摘要 民间金融尚未纳入政府金融监管范围之内,其规模只能通过测算得到。运用"θ"值法,测算合肥市2000—2018年民间金融,结果显示,合肥市民间金融发展迅速,规模较大,波浪式的扩张隐含着一定程度的风险。采用单位根检验、协整检验和格兰杰因果关系检验,对合肥市民间金融对经济增长的影响进行实证分析,结果表明,合肥市民间金融与经济增长之间存在长期均衡关系,民间金融显著地促进了经济增长。 Private finance has not been included in the scope of government financial supervision,and its scale can only be obtained through calculation.Using the"θ"value method,this paper estimates the private finance in Hefei from 2000 to 2018.The results show that the private finance in Hefei develops rapidly and has a large scale,and the wave expansion implies a certain degree of risk.We use unit root test,cointegration test and Granger causality test to analyze the impact of Private Finance on economic growth in Hefei.The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between private finance and economic growth in Hefei,and private finance significantly promotes economic growth.
作者 刘炯 林峥峥 LIU Jiong;LIN Zheng-zheng(Department of Tourism and Commerce,Xuancheng Vocational and Technical College,Xuancheng 242000,Anhui;School of International Economics,Anhui University of Foreign Languages,Hefei 230000;School of Economic and Management,Hefei University,Hefei 230601,China)
出处 《合肥学院学报(综合版)》 2020年第5期43-49,共7页 Journal of Hefei University:Comprehensive ED
基金 安徽省高校人文社会科学研究项目(SK2019B001) 宣城职业技术学院科研振兴项目(2020001) 合肥学院自然科学基金重点项目“互联网金融推动科技金融深度融合的影响因素及路径分析”(19RW01ZDB)资助
关键词 民间金融 “θ”值法 测算 经济增长 private finance "θ"value method calculation economic growth
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