摘要
为了进一步落实党中央提出的促进民族地区更好更快发展的战略,本文以探究改革开放以来我国民族地区经济发展引擎及其演化路径为目标,在相关研究的基础上,采用灰色关联度法系统分析“六五”到“十三五”时期我国民族地区八省区固定资产投资、交通基础设施、劳动投入、能源消耗、创新水平、人力资本、文化资本、对外开放水平、产业结构、城镇化水平、政府干预十一个因素与各省区GDP的关联度变化规律。研究表明,总体上民族地区的经济发展与本文选取的十一个影响因素均存在较强的关联性,其中受到交通基础设施、劳动投入以及能源消耗等此类要素投入的影响较大,受对外开放水平、创新水平和产业结构的影响较小。在此基础上研究了各影响因素在不同时期对民族地区八省区经济增长的影响力变化,并将民族地区八省区根据“要素驱动—创新驱动”和“转型发展—政府依赖”两个维度进行了归类。提出了促进民族地区经济发展、加快经济发展方式转型的对策建议。
In order to further implement the strategy for better and faster development of ethnic regions proposed by the Party Central Committee,this article explores the economic development impetus and its evolution path of ethnic regions since the reform and opening up.Based on related research,adopting the grey correlation analysis method,the article systematically makes analysis on eleven factors including fixed asset investment,infrastructure construction,labor input,energy consumption,innovation level,human capital,cultural capital,level of opening up,industrial structure,urbanization level,and government intervention on the correlation of GDP in eight ethnic provinces and regions ranging from the Sixth Five Year Plan period to the Thirteenth Five Year Plan period.The study indicates that the overall economic development of ethnic areas and the eleven influencing factors selected in this paper are strongly correlated.Among them,it is greatly affected by such elements as transportation infrastructure,labor input and energy consumption;it is less affected by the level of opening up,innovation level and industrial structure.On this basis,the article studied the influence changes on the economic growth of each ethnic province in different periods,and classified the eight provinces and regions according to two dimensions including“factor-driven to innovation-driven”and“transformation development to government dependency”.It proposed the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the economic development of ethnic regions and accelerate the transformation of economic development mode.
作者
张秀萍
刘常兰
ZHANG Xiu-ping;LIU Chang-lan(School of Management,Minzu University of China,Beijing 100081)
出处
《中央民族大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第2期110-123,共14页
Journal of Minzu University of China(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目“中国特色社会主义少数民族经济发展及其国际比较研究”(项目编号:19 ZDA173)的阶段性成果
关键词
民族地区
经济增长
引擎
灰色关联度
ethnic regions
economic growth
driving force
grey correlation degree
