The scarcity of water resources caused by the unique topography and uneven rainfall distribution in Hainan Island has become a major factor restricting local development. In order to provide effective and scientific r...The scarcity of water resources caused by the unique topography and uneven rainfall distribution in Hainan Island has become a major factor restricting local development. In order to provide effective and scientific reference basis for the overall water resource utilization status and solving this problem, this study calculated the water resource utilization situation of Hainan Island from 2017 to 2021 in detail using methods including water resource ecological footprint analysis. Furthermore, a spatial correlation analysis was conducted to examine the island's water resource utilization characteristics, and the driving factors behind the changes in water resource utilization over the past five years were analyzed using the LMDI model. The results show that:(1) During the study period, the water resource ecological footprint in Hainan Island exhibited a slow growth trend, while the ecological carrying capacity showed a downward tendency.The per capita ecological deficit of water resources remains relatively high, and the water consumption per 10 000 yuan GDP in the whole land continues to decrease, indicating that the overall pressure on water resource demand remains high with significant regional differences accompanied by the efficiency of water resource utilization steadily improving at the same time;(2) Agricultural water use accounts for the highest proportion in the entire water use structure, while ecological water use represents the smallest share, with a year-on-year increase, indicating that Hainan Island highlights the agricultural development and is increasingly conscious of the ecological environment;(3) Significant spatial differentiation in water resource utilization characteristics exists in Hainan Island, with the western region being a hot spot aggregation area for per capita water resource ecological footprint, per capita ecological carrying capacity of water resources, water consumption per 10 000 yuan GDP, while it is a cold spot cluster area for per capita ecological deficit of water resourc展开更多
文摘干旱和洪水灾害是新疆主要的自然灾害,其发生频率高,分布广且危害严重。洪旱灾害空间聚集研究对防灾减灾、救灾物资科学配置的意义重大。以近30年新疆各县市洪旱灾害次数为基础,运用全局Moran’s I系数、Moran散点图和Anselin局部Moran’s I系数分析了新疆县域尺度洪旱灾害的空间自相关性,揭示了新疆洪旱灾害的局部聚集和局部异常特征。全局空间自相关结果表明,县域尺度干旱、暴雨与升温混合型洪水、融雪型洪水和山洪Moran’s I Z值大于0.01,置信水平为2.54,表明洪旱灾害在行政单位间存在很强的空间自相关性,空间分布呈聚集状态。局部空间自相关结果表明,干旱聚集区比较分散,主要分布在东疆哈密地区和北疆伊犁地区、昌吉回族自治州、阿勒泰地区和南疆和田地区;1984-1989年干旱聚集程度最高,研究时段内聚集整体呈下降趋势,各时段均有少数几个县市与邻近县市局部空间自相关显著,局部区域呈集聚或离散的空间格局。各类型洪水"高-高"聚集空间差异显著,融雪型洪水聚集在塔城地区和克州,山洪聚集在哈密地区哈密市、伊吾和巴里坤县与周边木垒县;暴雨与升温混合型洪水聚集在博州的温泉、博乐和精河县以及伊犁地区的霍城县。
基金funded by Guangxi Karst Science and Technology Innovation Fund (KFKT2022001)China Geological Survey Program (DD20230416)。
文摘The scarcity of water resources caused by the unique topography and uneven rainfall distribution in Hainan Island has become a major factor restricting local development. In order to provide effective and scientific reference basis for the overall water resource utilization status and solving this problem, this study calculated the water resource utilization situation of Hainan Island from 2017 to 2021 in detail using methods including water resource ecological footprint analysis. Furthermore, a spatial correlation analysis was conducted to examine the island's water resource utilization characteristics, and the driving factors behind the changes in water resource utilization over the past five years were analyzed using the LMDI model. The results show that:(1) During the study period, the water resource ecological footprint in Hainan Island exhibited a slow growth trend, while the ecological carrying capacity showed a downward tendency.The per capita ecological deficit of water resources remains relatively high, and the water consumption per 10 000 yuan GDP in the whole land continues to decrease, indicating that the overall pressure on water resource demand remains high with significant regional differences accompanied by the efficiency of water resource utilization steadily improving at the same time;(2) Agricultural water use accounts for the highest proportion in the entire water use structure, while ecological water use represents the smallest share, with a year-on-year increase, indicating that Hainan Island highlights the agricultural development and is increasingly conscious of the ecological environment;(3) Significant spatial differentiation in water resource utilization characteristics exists in Hainan Island, with the western region being a hot spot aggregation area for per capita water resource ecological footprint, per capita ecological carrying capacity of water resources, water consumption per 10 000 yuan GDP, while it is a cold spot cluster area for per capita ecological deficit of water resourc