摘要
通过我国第三产业发展的空间溢出效应分析,可以找出影响我国第三产业发展的省域特征,进而为各地区的产业结构调整与升级提供科学的依据。通过莫兰Ⅰ指数的空间自相关检验发现,我国大陆31个省(市、区)第三产业发展情况具有空间溢出效应,且存在明显的空间正相关关系;利用面板数据空间杜宾模型发现劳动力投入情况、地区第三产业资本投入情况以及消费者购买力对第三产业的增长具有显著正向影响,相邻地区第三产业劳动力对本地区第三产业起显著负向作用,相邻地区资本投入对本地区第三产业起显著正向作用。
By analyzing the spatial spillover effect of the development of the tertiary industry in China, we can find out the provincial characteristics that affect the development of tertiary industry in China, and provide scientific basis for the adjustment and upgrading of industrial structure in various regions. Through the test of spatial autocorrelation of Moran Ⅰ index, it is found that the development of tertiary industry in 31 provinces(cities and districts) in China's Mainland has spatial spillover effect, with obvious spatial positive correlation. Using the spatial Durbin model of panel data, it is found that labor force input, regional tertiary industry capital input and consumer purchasing power have significant positive effects on the growth of tertiary industry;the labor force of the tertiary industry in neighboring areas plays a significant negative role in the tertiary industry, and the capital input of neighboring regions has a significant positive effect on the tertiary industry.
作者
孙凯
董慧
刘艳春
刘友金
Sun Kai;Dong Hui;Liu Yanchun;Liu Youjin(Business School,Hunan University of Science and Technology,Xiangtan Hunan 411100,China;Business School,Liaoning University,Shenyang 110036,China)
出处
《统计与决策》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第10期116-120,共5页
Statistics & Decision
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目(17ZDA046)
辽宁省社会科学规划基金资助项目(L17BTJ002)
辽宁省教育厅项目(WFW201710)。
