摘要
运用系统方法、参考系列预测法及比较法对我国、黑龙江省到2010年研究生发展规模进行科学预测,是我国高等教育发展的需要。预测结果表明,到2010年我国研究生规模将达到115万～165万之间;黑龙江省研究生规模将达到3.5万～4.4万之间,其中,在职攻读研究生学位的需求十分旺盛。从当前我国研究生培养能力来看,传统的全日制培养模式将成为研究生发展规模扩大的瓶颈。借鉴外国经验和我国已有的实践,提出在我国应大力开展研究生远程教育,并估计到2010年应有三分之一的研究生通过远程方式学习。
This paper makes a predicting analysis of the development of graduate education by the year 2010 in China and Heilongjiang province, by means of systematic comparison and referring to some predicting methods. The result of the prediction indicates that by 2010, the number of graduate students in China will reach 1.15- 1.16 million and the number in Heilongjiang province is 35-44 thousand. By then there will be a high demand of doing master degree study for those who are working. However, the traditional method of education in China will not be able to meet such a demand. Distance education will be highly advocated as a remedy. It is estimated that there will be about 30% of graduate students who will study by way of distance education.
出处
《哈尔滨工业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2004年第2期109-115,共7页
Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition)
基金
全国学位研究生教育发展中心科研课题(2001-2016-03)
关键词
研究生
远程教育
预测
分析
prediction, graduate student, distance education,
