摘要
本研究对济源市化石燃料消费所产生的CO2排放量进行了估算,结果表明,济源市2005-2010年CO2排放量整体呈上升趋势,虽然工业部门的煤炭消费对全市的CO2排放贡献最大,但是随着近年该市优化能源结构,天然气使用的增长速度已高于煤炭。基于此,利用Kaya公式,以济源市目前的发展状况进行情景预测,预测结果表明,到2020年单位GDPCO2排放量比2005年下降51.38%,同时提出了进一步降低济源市CO2排放量的政策建议。
This paper estimated Jiyuan city's carbon emissions produced by fossil fuel consumption. The results showed that the carbon emissions of Jiyuan City was on the upward trend from 2005 to 2010. While the coal consumption of industry had the largest contribution to carbon dioxide emissions in the city,with the optimization of energy structure in recent years,and the growth of natural gas use speed was higher than that of coal. Based on this,we used Kaya formula to make scenario prediction according to jiyuan city's current development situation. The forecast results show that dioxide carbon emissions per GDP in 2020 than that in 2005 fell by 51. 38%. In addition we put forward the further policy recommendations to reduce the Jiyuan city's carbon emissions.
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2015年第S1期119-122,共4页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
国家"十二五"科技支撑计划项目资助(编号:2011BAJ07B07)
关键词
碳排放
化石燃料
情景预测
济源
carbon emissions
fossil fuel
scenario prediction
Jiyuan City
