摘要
澳大利亚作为美国的传统盟友,"印太"战略的关键参与方,研究澳大利亚对"印太"战略的认知及其产生这种认知的原因具有现实意义。本文首先对"印太"概念的产生、"印太"战略的提出和演变过程进行了回顾。在此基础上,文章就澳大利亚对"印太"战略的认知进行了系统分析,其中主要分析澳大利亚官方以及学界对这一战略的态度。澳大利亚官方对美国主导的"印太"战略态度积极,而学界存在赞成派、中间派和反对派,其中赞成派在一定程度上影响力更大。随后,本文分析了影响澳大利亚对"印太"战略认知的因素,主要分为国内层面和国外层面,其中国内层面包括澳大利亚本身"地跨两洋"的地缘位置和国内政治日趋保守化和民粹化,而国外层面主要包括:澳大利亚对华"高级政治"压倒"低级政治";对美国安全上依赖,战略上追随以及对印度崛起的重视。最后,关于中国的对策,本文尝试提出了三点建议:第一,经济合作仍可视为对澳政策的有效手段;第二,默许"印太"概念推动中国在印度洋地区的存在常态化;第三,对"印太"保持战略定力和战略灵活性。
As the US’s traditional ally,Australia is the key participant of"Indo-Pacific"strategy,study on its cognitions,reasons,and countermeasures on the strategy is practically significant.This paper first review the process and the concept of"IndoPacific"origination,then review its proposal and evolution process.Based on this,the paper systematically analyzes Australia’s cognition on the strategy,mainly its official and academic attitudes.Finds that,Australia is officially positive to the"Indo-Pacific"strategy dominated by the US,while the academic attitudes are divided into approval,centrist,and opposition,three opinions,among which approvals are most influential.After then,this paper analyzes Australia’s cognition to"Indo-Pacific"strategy,mainly it is divided into home and abroad two layers,in which,home layer includes across two oceans’geographic location,being conservatism and populist inner politics,while foreign layer includes:to China,priority politics dominates low grade ones;to the US,safety dependent,and strategy followed;to India,attaches importance.Finally,to China’s countermeasures,three advices are put forward:1.Economic ones is the useful measure to Australia;2.Acquiesce"Indo-Pacific"concept and push China’s exist in Indian Ocean region normalization;3.Keep strategic will power and flexibility.
出处
《印度洋经济体研究》
2018年第3期41-66,139,共27页
Indian Ocean Economic and Political Review
