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采煤工作面瓦斯涌出量的灰色建模及预测研究 被引量:9

The prediction of the gas emissiom in coal mines by the methods of grey-model
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摘要 矿井瓦斯涌出量预测是新建矿井和改扩建矿井通风设计、安全管理、制定合理的瓦斯防治措施必不可少的重要环节,瓦斯涌出量预测精度的高低直接决定着矿井生产时的安全程度、经济效益的好坏,因此,瓦斯涌出量预测一直是国内外学者十分关注的研究课题.长期以来,我国一直沿用传统的矿山统计法和瓦斯含量法来预测矿井瓦斯涌出量,这两种预测方法都有各自的适用条件和局限性.本文介绍一种新的瓦斯涌出量预测方法———灰色非定空预测法的原理及应用.实践表明:利用该法能迅速、准确地对"贫息"的预测区(包括新矿区)进行瓦斯涌出量预测. The prediction of gas emission in coal mines is a very important work for the new coal mines or some reconstruction coal mines.Therefore,the gas emission has great effect on the safety and efficiency of the mines and other enterprises.Close attention have been paid to the researches all over the world.The methods based on the old statistics and firedamp content have been used to predict the gas emission in China,yet it was unsuitable and inaccurate in some special conditions.The author has brought up a new method to predict gas emission in coal mines,that is the method of 'Grey model'.It was proved that this method is better than other gas emission methods in prediction.
作者 袁东升
出处 《焦作工学院学报》 2003年第5期334-337,共4页 Journal of Jiaozuo Institute of Technology(Natural Science)
关键词 瓦斯涌出量 灰色建模 预测 采煤工作面 gas emission grey model prediction
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参考文献3

  • 1邓聚龙.灰色预测与决策[M].武汉:华中理工大学出版社,1992.101-111. 被引量:38
  • 2袁嘉祖编著..灰色系统理论及其应用[M].北京:科学出版社,1991:332.
  • 3邓聚龙.灰色预测与决策[M].武汉:华中理工大学出版社,1992.97-116. 被引量:95

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