摘要
城镇化建设是经济社会发展的必然要求。本文利用1978~2012年内蒙古经济增长与城镇化发展的时间序列数据,利用协整理论,基于计量ECM模型,对城镇化率与经济增长之间的长期与短期数量均衡进行了研究;结果表明:长期内,内蒙古自治区城镇化发展与其经济增长之间存在均衡关系;短期内,城镇化率与经济增长间表现出正相关关系,城镇化率每增加1%,可促进内蒙古自治区人均GDP增加0.19%。
Urbanization is the inevitable requirement of economic and social development. This paper uses the time series data of Inner Mongolia economic growth and urbanization development in 1978 ~ 2012 years,using cointegration theory and ECM model,to investigate the long and short- term relationship between the rate of urbanization and economic growth. The results show that: in the long run,there is a balanced relationship between the development of the urbanization and economic growth in Inner Mongolia; the short term,the rate of urbanization and economic growth showed positive correlation,the urbanization rate increases 1%,can promote the per capita GDP increased by 0. 19% in Inner Mongolia.
出处
《内蒙古农业大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
2015年第1期174-178,共5页
Journal of Inner Mongolia Agricultural University(Natural Science Edition)
基金
基于劳动力结构分析的内蒙古农牧区劳动力质量优化研究(2013MS1015)
