摘要
“双碳”目标下,资源型地区依靠市场本身难以完成绿色转型,政府如何通过政策有效推动绿色转型,是一个需要研究的重要课题。作者以山西为例,通过构建动态可计算一般均衡模型,模拟分析了碳中和背景下推动地区绿色转型的政策协同效应。研究结果显示:第一,相比政策单独实施,政策组合的协同可以推动资源型地区实现经济性更优的绿色转型,主要通过刺激政府消费以实现经济增长优势,特别地,激励型政策与能力建设型政策的组合主要通过企业投资的增加实现经济增长优势。第二,能力建设型政策的单独实施会增加化石能源使用,通过政策组合的协同效应能够有效缓解这一负面影响,有利于可再生能源比例的增加。山西可再生能源占一次能源比例平均提高约9.88%。第三,基于资源型地区的产业结构特征,推动地区绿色转型,政府需要更加重视命令型政策与能力建设型政策组合。上述前两点结论主要基于以煤炭为主的能源结构,同样适用于全国;第三点结论则基于山西以能源和原材料工业为主体的重型工业结构特征,更适用于与山西产业结构类似的资源型地区,比如内蒙古、陕西、新疆等。作者基于上述研究结论给出了相关政策建议。
Under the“dual carbon”goals,resource-based regions are difficult to achieve green transformation by relying solely on market itself It is a critical issue that how governments effectively promote green transformation through policy interventions.Taking Shanxi province as an example,the paper constructed a dynamic computable general equilibrium(CGE)model to simulate and analyze the synergistic effects of three types of policies(command,incentive and capacity-building policy)under the background of carbon neutrality.The results show that:First,compared to the implementation of individual policies,the synergy of policy combinations can promote the green transformation in resource-based regions with better economic performance,primarily by stimulating government consumption to achieve economic growth.In particular,the“incentive&capacity-building”policy mainly achieves economic growth advantages through the increase of corporate investment.Second,the implementation of capacity-building policy may increases the use of fossil energy,and the synergistic effect can effectively mitigate this negative impact and adjust the energy structure,increasing the share of renewable energy in primary energy by about 9.88%.Third,based on the industrial structure characteristics of resource-based regions,the government needs to pay more attention to the“command&capacity-building”policy to promote green transformation.Finally,relevant policy recommendations are given based on the findings of the study.
作者
邓雅芮
赵晓丽
许昭
DENG Yarui;ZHAO Xiaoli;XU Zhao(School of Economics and Management,China University of Petroleum,Beijing 102249,China;Research Center for Low Carbon Economy and Policies,China University of Petroleum,Beijing 102249,China;Department of Electrical and Electronic Engineering,The Hong Kong Polytechnic University,Hong Kong 999077,China)
出处
《生态文明研究》
CSSCI
2024年第5期72-93,共22页
Journal of Eco-civilization Studies
基金
国家自然科学基金重点项目“城市能源系统低碳转型的驱动机制及政策研究”(批准号:71934006)
国家社会科学基金重点项目“碳中和目标下可再生能源大规模发展的路径和协同机制研究”(批准号:21AZD111)
国家社会科学基金重大项目“‘双碳’目标下能源结构转型路径与协同机制研究”(批准号:22&ZD103)。
关键词
绿色转型
政策协同
资源型地区
山西
green transformation
policy synergy
resource-based regions
Shanxi province
