摘要
立足于乡村振兴亟需乡村人才队伍建设的现实需要,结合当前大力推进数字经济建设的背景,利用2016—2018年全国流动人口动态监测数据(CMDS)以及各地级市数字经济相关指数构成的面板数据,探究务工地数字经济发展对农民工返乡意愿的影响,经验证据支持理论分析的结论,即数字经济对农民工返乡意愿有显著的抑制作用。这一结论在经过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。机制检验结果表明,就业质量在数字经济对农民工返乡意愿的影响中起到关键的中介作用,并且个体年龄和城市政府治理能力在其中分别发挥了负向和正向调节作用。异质性分析发现,数字经济对年轻一代、务工地位于东部地区和市内流动的农民工群体返乡意愿的抑制作用更为明显。为促进数字经济健康发展,积极引导高素质农民工返乡,为乡村振兴提供人才助力,要采取以下政策措施:完善数字基础设施建设,优化乡村产业发展环境;推动农民工可持续发展,构建农民工返乡分流机制;充分发挥数字经济红利,提高城乡劳动者就业质量。
This paper,based on the actual needs of rural talent team construction in rural revitalization and combined with the background of vigorously promoting digital economy,explores the impact of the development of the digital economy on the willingness of migrant workers to get employed or start business in their hometown by employing the China Migrants Dynamic Survey(CMDS)in 2016-2018 and the digital economy related indices of various prefecture level cities.Empirical evidence supports the conclusion of theoretical analysis that the digital economy has a significant inhibitory effect,and this conclusion still holds true after a series of robustness tests.The results of mechanism testing show that employment quality plays a key mediating role,and individual age and urban government governance ability play negative and positive regulating roles respectively.The heterogeneity analysis shows that the digital economy bears a more obvious inhibitory effect on the willingness of the younger generation,and migrant workers getting employed in the eastern region and local cities.To promote the healthy development of the digital economy,actively guide high-quality migrant workers to return their hometown,and provide talent assistance for rural revitalization,the following policy measures should be taken:we should improve the construction of digital infrastructure,optimize the development environment of rural industries;we should promote the sustainable development of migrant workers and establish a mechanism for diverting them back to their hometowns;we should fully leverage the dividends of the digital economy and improve the employment quality of urban and rural workers.
作者
王伟新
王晨光
殷徐康
WANG Wei-xin;WANG Chen-guang;YIN Xu-kang(School of Economics,Zhejiang Gongshang University,Hangzhou 310018,China)
出处
《广西师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2024年第6期30-45,共16页
Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition)
基金
国家社会科学基金青年项目“数字经济环境下的农民增收路径及其城乡间转移决策机制研究”(21CJY037)。
关键词
数字经济
就业质量
返乡意愿
乡村振兴
digital economy
quality of employment
willingness to return hometown
rural revitalization
