摘要
加快构建现代化产业体系是实现我国旅游产业高质量发展的必由之路,而韧性思想为旅游产业高质量发展提供新的研究路径。本文基于韧性理论,从“内部-外部”子系统5五个维度构建旅游产业韧性评价指标体系,并运用熵权-TOPSIS法、Kernel核密度分析、Dagum基尼系数和障碍度模型综合测度了2004—2022年我国30个省、自治区、直辖市旅游产业韧性综合水平与区域差异以及障碍因子。结果表明:研究期内我国旅游产业韧性水平逐渐提升,各子系统增速呈现出外部子系统高于内部子系统的特征,区域层面呈现东部大于中部大于西部大于东北部的格局,增速形成东北部大于西部大于中部大于东部的追赶态势;研究期内旅游产业韧性水平的区域差异呈缩小态势,区域内差异方面东部和中部地区逐步下降,东北和西部波动下降,而东部、中部、西部、东北部区域间差异是导致旅游产业韧性区域差异的关键;研究期内我国旅游产业韧性前5名主要障碍因子分别是人口密度、旅游从业人数占第三产业从业人数比、城镇居民可支配收入、旅游经济密度和旅游产业劳动生产率,且前三大因子障碍度之和超过50%。
Speeding up the development of a modern industrial system is essential for achieving high-quality growth in China’s tourism industry,and resilience theory offers a novel approach for its research.This study,grounded in resilience theory,constructs a tourism industry resilience evaluation index system across five dimensions of the“internal-external”subsystem.Utilizing entropy weight-TOPSIS,Kernel density analysis,the Dagum Gini coefficient,and the Obstacle Model,it comprehensively assesses the resilience level,regional disparities,and impediments to the tourism industry across 30 provinces in China from 2004 to 2022.The findings reveal:Over the study period,China’s tourism resilience has progressively improved,with external subsystems outpacing internal ones.At the regional level,this growth follows an east>central>west>northeast pattern,with the northeast outpacing the west,central,and east.Regional disparities in tourism resilience have narrowed over the study period,with gradual declines in the eastern and central regions and fluctuating declines in the northeast and west.The key to these regional disparities lies in the differences between the eastern,central,western,and northeastern regions.The top five impediments to China’s tourism resilience over the study period include population density,tourist-to-tertiary sector employment ratio,urban residents’disposable income,tourism economic density,and labor productivity in the tourism sector.The combined impact of these top three obstacles surpasses 50%.
作者
陈子远
CHEN Ziyuan(School of Business Administration,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guiyang 550025,China)
出处
《湖北文理学院学报》
2024年第8期41-49,共9页
Journal of Hubei University of Arts and Science
基金
贵州财经大学在校学生科研项目(2024ZXSY027)。
关键词
旅游产业
旅游产业韧性
韧性理论
障碍因子
tourism industry
tourism industry resilience
resilience theory
obstacle factor
