摘要
基于中国对东盟高新技术产品出口特征的分析,采用随机前沿引力模型对中国向东盟出口高新技术产品的潜力进行了研究。中国对越南、新加坡、马来西亚、泰国、印度尼西亚和菲律宾这6个国家具有较大的贸易潜力,对文莱、柬埔寨和缅甸这3个国家的贸易潜力较小。对贸易潜力较大的发达国家,通过高层次人才培养、扩大经费投入、研发更为先进的高新技术产品等方式提高我国高技术产品在这些市场的竞争能力。对贸易潜力较大的发展中国家,可通过直接投资、生产符合社会发展水平的产品等方式进一步开拓市场。建议对贸易潜力较小的国家,可通过增加投资与合作,开发适销对路的产品而逐步开拓市场。
Based on the analysis of the characteristics of China's export of high-tech products to ASEAN,this paper uses the stochastic frontier Gravity model to study the potential of China's export of high-tech products to ASEAN.It is concluded that China has significant trade potential with six countries:Vietnam,Singapore,Malaysia,Thailand,Indonesia,and the Philippines,and less trade potential to three countries:Brunei,Cambodia,and Myanmar is relatively small.For developed countries with significant trade potential,we will enhance the competitiveness of our high-tech products in these markets through high-level talent cultivation,expanded investment,and research and development of more advanced high-tech products.Developing countries with significant trade potential can further expand their markets through direct investment and production of products that meet the level of social development.For countries with low trade potential,we can gradually expand their markets by increasing investment and cooperation,developing marketable products.
作者
李雨涵
问泽霞
Li Yuhan;Wen Zexia(School of Economics,JiangSu University of technology,Changzhou Jiangsu 213001)
出处
《北方经贸》
2024年第6期27-31,共5页
Northern Economy and Trade
关键词
贸易流量
高新技术产品
随机前沿引力分析
贸易潜力
Trade flows
high-tech products
Stochastic frontier gravity analysis
Trade potential
