摘要
作为全球外交数字化转型的产物,计算外交是数智环境下由算法和算力所驱动的一种智慧外交新形态,其发端于新一波全球人工智能技术的飞速发展。与网络外交、新媒体外交和数据外交不同,计算外交的核心特征在于实现“可计算”的外交实践过程,强调的是外交的计算能力及其可实现,其本质是数智环境下外交技术工具和外交工作形态的智能化再升级。在计算外交的驱动下,计算思维与计算能力建设将会成为全球外交能力建设的关键角逐点。放眼未来,计算外交的发展趋势在于迈向智能化外交,它在赋能外交战略实施、外交形势研判和外交工作流程革新的同时,也给现实国际政治运行带来了前所未有的风险。这些风险包括:算法武器化滥用会引发算法军备竞赛;以计算宣传为代表的信息操纵会带来认知安全隐患;算法赋能网络攻击会威胁他国网络安全;算法操纵会降低战争门槛并引发新型国际冲突。有鉴于此,在计算外交时代,需要以计算思维对抗计算思维、以技术对抗技术,在强化计算能力建设的同时加强计算外交人才培养、推动计算外交理论体系的构建。
In the digital age,as a result of the global digital transformation in diplomacy,computational diplomacy has emgerged as a new form of intelligent diplomacy driven by algorithms and computing power.It originated from the rapid advancement of global artificial intelligence.Unlike cyber diplomacy,new media diplomacy,and data-driven diplomacy,the core feature of computational diplomacy is the computability of the diplomatic process,emphasizing the computational capabilities of diplomacy and the capabilities'feasibility.Its essence lies in the intelligent upgrading of diplomatic tools and work patterns in the digital environment.Driven by computational diplomacy,computational thinking and the development of computational capabilities will become key points in global diplomatic capacity building.Looking ahead,the trends of computational diplomacy would be moving towards intelligent diplomacy.While empowering diplomatic policy execution,assessment of diplomatic situations,and innovation in diplomatic workflows,it also brings unprecedented risks to international politics,including the following aspects:the weaponization and abuse of algorithms will trigger an algorithmic arms race;information manipulation represented by computational propaganda will bring cognitive security risks;algorithm-empowered cyber-attacks will threaten the cyber security of other countries;and algorithm manipulation will lower the threshold of war and give way to new international conflicts.Therefore,it is necessary to counter computational thinking with computational thinking and technology with technology".While strengthening the construction of computing capabilities,we must also work hard to cultivate diplomats skilled in artificial intelligence technology and build a computational diplomacy theoretical system.
作者
董青岭
曹飞翠
Dong Qingling;Cao Feicui
出处
《国际观察》
北大核心
2024年第2期44-71,共28页
International Review
基金
国家社科基金重大项目“基于大数据的国家安全态势感知原理及冲突数据库建设”(项目批准号:19ZDA131)的阶段性成果
对外经济贸易大学研究生科研创新基金资助“内容生成与计算外交:被算法化的外交工具箱”(项目批准号:202341)的支持。
关键词
计算外交
数字外交
算法
算力
智能外交
Computational Diplomacy
Digital Diplomacy
Algorithm
Computing Power
Intelligent Diplomacy
