摘要
区域间经济发展差距一直是中国经济面临的突出问题之一。基于2000—2014年BACI-CEPII双边贸易数据与城市统计年鉴数据,以城市为分析对象,探究外部需求冲击对中国地区间经济差距的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:外部需求扩张会显著扩大中国地区间经济差距,该结论在经过内生性处理以及一系列稳健性检验之后依然成立;外部需求扩张提高了地区主导产业规模与关联产业强度,从而加剧外部需求扩张对地区间经济差距的拉大效应;外部需求扩张促进了城市间产业转移的发生,而且产业转移整体上缓解了外部需求扩张所引致的地区间经济差距的扩大;外部需求扩张主要加剧了东部地区与南部地区城市与全国平均水平间的经济差距,但是会缩小西部地区城市与全国平均水平间的经济差距,对中部地区与北部地区城市间经济差距的影响则不明显。
Regional economic disparities have long been one of the prominent issues facing China's economy.Drawing on BACI-CEPII bilateral trade data and city statistical yearbook data from 2000 to 2014,this study examines the impact of external demand shocks on economic disparity among regions in China and explores underlying mechanisms.Our findings indicate that the expansion of external demand significantly widens regional economic disparities,a result robust to endogeneity treatment and various robustness tests.Specifically,external demand expansion amplifies the scale of regional leading industries and the intensity of linked industries,exacerbating regional economic disparities.However,it also promotes industrial transfer between cities,which mitigates the widening effect of external demand expansion on regional economic disparities.Furthermore,external demand expansion primarily accentuates economic disparities between cities in the eastern and southern regions and the national average,while reducing disparities between cities in the western regions and the national average,with no significant impact on disparities between cities in the central and northern regions.These findings offer policy insights for promoting harmonious regional development within the new “dual circulation” development pattern.
作者
张明志
孙琪琪
ZHANG Mingzhi;SUN Qiqi(School of Economics,Xiamen University,Xiamen 361005,Fujian)
出处
《厦门大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
北大核心
2024年第3期104-116,共13页
Journal of Xiamen University(A Bimonthly for Studies in Arts & Social Sciences)
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“贸易冲击与中国区域劳动力就业:机理研究、实证检验与量化评估”(72173110)
教育部人文社科基金规划项目“外部冲击与中国对外贸易多元化研究:全球价值链视角”(21YJA790079)
国家社会科学基金重大项目“新时期开放中提升国际循环质量和水平以畅通国内国际双循环的实现路径研究”(23ZDA053)。
关键词
外部需求冲击
经济差距
主导产业
关联产业
产业转移
external demand shocks
economic disparity
leading industry
linked industry
industrial transfer
